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91.
92.
93.
Fully probabilistic seismic risk assessment considering local site effects for the portfolio of buildings in Medellín,Colombia 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Mario A. Salgado-Gálvez Daniela Zuloaga-Romero Gabriel A. Bernal Miguel G. Mora Omar-Darío Cardona 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2014,12(2):671-695
A fully probabilistic seismic risk analysis using a comprehensive approach is conducted for Medellin, the second largest city of Colombia, using a building by building database constructed and complemented from aerial images, considering characteristics such as building use categories, socio-economic levels and replacement values. The seismic hazard used for the analysis corresponds to the most updated study available in the country with the same model that was included in the national building code maps definition. Spectral transfer functions are determined for each of the seismic microzonation zones in order to take into account the dynamic soil response and amplification effects in the risk analysis. Several building types are defined for the city and individual vulnerability functions are assigned to each of them. Risk results are presented in the state of the art metrics such as the loss exceedance curve, probable maximum losses for different return periods, average annual losses and risk maps. The obtained results can be classified by use and socio-economic sectors as well as by structural systems that may help the stakeholders to identify where the risk concentrates. 相似文献
94.
Gaetano Manfredi Andrea Prota Gerardo Mario Verderame Flavia De Luca Paolo Ricci 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2014,12(5):2275-2298
Data of the Italian National Institute of Statistics are collected aimed at characterizing Reinforced Concrete (RC) building stock of the area struck by the 2012 Emilia earthquake (number of storeys, age of construction, structural typology). Damage observations, collected right after the event in reconnaissance reports, are shown and analyzed emphasizing typical weaknesses of RC buildings in the area. The evolution of seismic classification for Emilia region and RC buildings’ main characteristics represent the input data for the assessment of non-structural damage of infilled RC buildings, through a simplified approach (FAST method), based on EMS-98 damage scale. Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) capacities for the first three damage states of EMS-98 are compared with registered PGA in the epicentral area. Observed damage and damage states evaluated for the PGA of the event, in the epicentral area, are finally compared. The comparison led to a fair agreement between observed and numerical data. 相似文献
95.
A hydrogeological study was completed within a sub-catchment of the Zerka River drainage basin, in western Jordan. The system
is characterized by anticlinal bending with an axis trending SSW–NNE and plunging a few degrees in the SSW direction. The
anticlinal structure diverts groundwater flow towards the SSW while the strike-slipe faults cause the groundwater to diverge
where the fault is perpendicular to the groundwater flow lines, and to converge where the fault is parallel to the groundwater
flow lines. A direct relationship was found between the location of springs and the type of groundwater flow with regard to
the amount of discharge wherein large spring discharges are located in zones of converging groundwater flow lines. In areas
where faults are not abundant, the groundwater retention time in the aquifers is long and a zonation of the electrical conductivity
was detected due to mineral dissolution. By controlling groundwater flow, the anticlinal setting produces three genetic groups
of groundwater flow systems: (1) alkaline–earth alkaline water which is predominately a bicarbonate-type composition, (2)
alkaline–earth alkaline water which is predominately bicarbonate–sulfate, and (3) alkaline–earth alkaline water with a high
alkaline component. 相似文献
96.
Barbara J. Thompson Sarah E. Gibson Peter C. Schroeder David F. Webb Charles N. Arge Mario M. Bisi Giuliana de Toma Barbara A. Emery Antoinette B. Galvin Deborah A. Haber Bernard V. Jackson Elizabeth A. Jensen Robert J. Leamon Jiuhou Lei Periasamy K. Manoharan M. Leila Mays Patrick S. McIntosh Gordon J. D. Petrie Simon P. Plunkett Liying Qian Peter Riley Steven T. Suess Munetoshi Tokumaru Brian T. Welsch Thomas N. Woods 《Solar physics》2011,274(1-2):29-56
We present an overview of the data and models collected for the Whole Heliosphere Interval, an international campaign to study the three-dimensional solar?Cheliospheric?Cplanetary connected system near solar minimum. The data and models correspond to solar Carrington Rotation 2068 (20 March??C?16 April 2008) extending from below the solar photosphere, through interplanetary space, and down to Earth??s mesosphere. Nearly 200 people participated in aspects of WHI studies, analyzing and interpreting data from nearly 100 instruments and models in order to elucidate the physics of fundamental heliophysical processes. The solar and inner heliospheric data showed structure consistent with the declining phase of the solar cycle. A closely spaced cluster of low-latitude active regions was responsible for an increased level of magnetic activity, while a highly warped current sheet dominated heliospheric structure. The geospace data revealed an unusually high level of activity, driven primarily by the periodic impingement of high-speed streams. The WHI studies traced the solar activity and structure into the heliosphere and geospace, and provided new insight into the nature of the interconnected heliophysical system near solar minimum. 相似文献
97.
Marine Stewardship Council (MSC) certification is a market-based incentive program recognizing well-managed fisheries. Currently, four Argentine fisheries are involved in the MSC program. Using in-depth, semi-structured interviews with fishery stakeholders, the study surveys their perceptions regarding MSC certification. MSC certification is positively perceived because stakeholders focus on knowledge of the process. Most respondents consider certification as encouraging effective fishery stakeholders’ participation: access to information, increased communication, and reaching consensus. Market/political/social realities will prove whether a more intense participation of Argentine fisheries in the certification initiative is useful. Because some markets in the EU and USA are demanding MSC certified products, there is a need to work towards a governance structure that helps link certification with policy market outcomes to ensure exportation of Argentine fish. MSC certification may suggest improved management of participatory bottom-up planning. This bottom-up approach provides an opportunity to establish feedback mechanisms and organizational changes. 相似文献
98.
François Charlet Marc De Batist Emmanuel Chapron Sébastien Bertrand Mario Pino Roberto Urrutia 《Journal of Paleolimnology》2008,39(2):163-177
Prior to the collection of a series of sediment cores, a high- and very-high-resolution reflection seismic survey was carried
out on Lago Puyehue, Lake District, South-Central Chile. The data reveal a complex bathymetry and basin structure, with three
sub-basins separated by bathymetric ridges, bedrock islands and interconnected channels. The sedimentary infill reaches a
thickness of >200 m. It can be sub-divided into five seismic-stratigraphic units, which are interpreted as: moraine, ice-contact
or outwash deposits (Unit I), glacio-lacustrine sediments rapidly deposited in a proglacial or subglacial lake at the onset
of deglaciation (Unit II), lacustrine fan deposits fed by sediment-laden meltwater streams in a proglacial lake (Unit III),
distal deposits of fluvially derived sediment in an open, post-glacial lake (Unit IV) and authigenic lacustrine sediments,
predominantly of biogenic origin, that accumulated in an open, post-glacial lake (Unit V). This facies succession is very
similar to that observed in other glacial lakes, and minor differences are attributed to an overall higher depositional energy
and higher terrigenous input caused by the strong seismic and volcanic activity in the region combined with heavy precipitation.
A long sediment core (PU-II core) penetrates part of Unit V and its base is dated as 17,915 cal. yr. BP. Extrapolation of
average sedimentation rates yields an age of ca. 24,750 cal. yr. BP for the base of Unit V, and of ca. 28,000 cal. yr. BP
for the base of Unit IV or for the onset of open-water conditions. This is in contrast with previous glacial-history reconstructions
based on terrestrial records, which date the complete deglaciation of the basin as ca. 14,600 cal. yr. BP. This discrepancy
cannot be easily explained and highlights the need for more lacustrine records from this region.
This is the second in a series of eight papers published in this special issue dedicated to the 17,900 year multi-proxy lacustrine record of
Lago Puyehue, Chilean Lake District. The papers in this special issue were collected by M. De Batist, N. Fagel, M.-F. Loutre
and E. Chapron. 相似文献
99.
100.
Danny Arroyo Daniel García Mario Ordaz Mauricio Alexander Mora Shri Krishna Singh 《Journal of Seismology》2010,14(4):769-785
We derive strong ground-motion relations for horizontal components of pseudo-acceleration response spectra from Mexican interplate
earthquakes at rock sites (NEHRP B class) in the forearc region. The functional form is obtained from the analytical solution
of a circular finite-source model. For the regression analysis we use a recently proposed multivariate Bayesian technique.
The resulting model has similar accuracy as those models derived from regional and worldwide subduction-zone databases. However,
there are significant differences in the estimations computed from our model and other models. First, our results reveal that
attenuation in Mexico tends to be stronger than that of worldwide relations, especially for large events. Second, our model
predicts ground motions for large earthquakes at close distances to the source that are considerably larger than the estimations
of global models. Lack of data in this range makes it difficult to identify the most appropriate model for this scenario.
Nevertheless, according to the available data at the city of Acapulco, our model seems to estimate seismic hazard more adequately
than the other models. These new relations may be useful in computing seismic hazard for the Mexican forearc region, where
no similar equations had been yet proposed. 相似文献